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If you’ve been watching the real estate market in the San Francisco Bay Area — especially in Lamorinda — you’ve probably asked yourself: “Is it still worth it to buy right now?” With interest rates stubbornly high and home prices remaining strong, the rent-vs-buy conversation feels more relevant than ever.

Renting: More Flexible, More Affordable (for Now)

In much of the Bay Area, monthly rents — while not cheap — can still come in significantly lower than what a mortgage payment would look like with today’s 7% rates. That’s especially true in Lamorinda, where a well-maintained 3-bedroom rental might run you $5,500–$6,500/month, while buying a similar home could push a mortgage well above $8,000/month once you factor in taxes and insurance.

For many families or individuals who aren’t quite ready to plant long-term roots or aren’t sure they’ll stay put for 5–10 years, renting offers flexibility and lower short-term financial pressure.

Buying: Long-Term Value, Short-Term Pain

Even in a high-rate environment, owning a home in places like Lafayette, Moraga, or Orinda still has long-term advantages. You’re building equity, gaining stability, and investing in a high-demand community with excellent schools and quality of life.

That said, the short-term hit is real. With today’s rates, monthly payments are significantly higher than what buyers were seeing just a few years ago, and jumbo loan limits are often exceeded here, requiring more upfront cash or private lending options. Buyers need to be financially prepared and emotionally ready for the ride.

Why Rates Are Still High (and What’s Holding Them There)

Even as inflation cools, mortgage rates have remained stubbornly high. Why?

• Core inflation is still sticky, especially in services like housing and insurance.
• The job market is solid, particularly in tech and professional services here in the Bay Area, which fuels ongoing demand.
• The U.S. debt downgrade last year pushed up Treasury yields — and since mortgage rates track closely with the 10-year Treasury, that pressure flows straight into your mortgage quote.

Put simply: money is still expensive to borrow, and the market knows it.

The Lamorinda Effect: What’s Unique Here?

Lamorinda continues to be a high-demand micro-market, even in a cooler regional climate. Low inventory, desirable school districts, and a strong sense of community keep prices resilient. That means even if you can buy here, you’re competing for limited inventory — and the right home still goes quickly.

On the rental side, options are fewer and farther between, and seasonal demand (especially in the summer/fall for families relocating before school starts) can push rental prices higher.

Flip Side: What About Owning as an Investor?

As rental property owners ourselves, we’re constantly evaluating whether it still makes sense to hold or sell. With high home values and elevated rates, the math on investment properties is tighter than it used to be. Some long-time owners are cashing out — especially if they’re equity-rich and facing costly upgrades or turnover.

But in Lamorinda and similar markets, rental demand is steady, tenant quality is strong, and turnover is relatively low. That stability, combined with long-term appreciation potential, still makes ownership attractive — if your cost basis allows for healthy margins.

If you’re thinking about exiting a rental, doing a 1031 exchange, or shifting from active to passive management, it’s a good time to reassess. Every property tells a different story — and it may be time to turn the page or reinvest strategically.

The Bottom Line

If you’re debating whether to rent or buy in Lamorinda or the broader Bay Area, the answer comes down to your timeline, financial readiness, and personal goals. Renting might give you breathing room in the short term. Buying, especially in a community as stable and desirable as Lamorinda, still builds long-term value — but it takes planning and commitment.

And if you’re already an owner, especially of investment property, this could be the year to take a closer look at your portfolio. The best decisions often come from knowing when to hold — and when to pivot.

Source: https://reventureconsulting.com/report/buying-v-renting-dashboard/

Market Perspectives with William Tang: Nin Tang Homes’ (Unofficial) Chief Investment Advisor*

The stock market has been on a rollercoaster lately. After a steep drop that began in late February, we saw a massive rebound on Wednesday—the biggest jump in the S&P (nearly +10%) in over a decade—driven by the President’s announcement of a temporary pause on tariffs. That said, the volatility may not be over. These tariff moves feel less like long-term policy and more like short-term negotiating tactics, especially with countries like China where retaliatory tit for tat tariffs are still ongoing. It’s starting to feel like a high-stakes game of chicken between two economic giants—and neither side is swerving.

This uncertainty has pushed interest rates to their lowest levels since October, as investors moved into safer options like Treasuries and bonds. But as the stock market rallied midweek, the 10 year treasury interest rate began to climb again. With volatility at extreme levels, some investors may seek to raise cash—whether through selling stocks or even real estate—to weather the storm.

So, what does this mean for real estate? We may be seeing the early signs of a shift—from a strong seller’s market to one that’s more balanced, or even starting to favor buyers. Homes for sale inventory is up in the Bay Area compared to recent years, and with continued tariff uncertainty, that trend may continue.

For buyers who’ve been waiting for the right moment, this could be it. Keep an eye on the 10-year Treasury and mortgage rates. If they continue to move downward in response to broader market weakness, it could boost purchasing power—and open the door to better deals and more room for negotiation.

Have questions about what this means for you? Let’s chat!

Market Perspectives with William Tang: Nin Tang Homes’ (Unofficial) Chief Investment Advisor*

I’ve always been fascinated by interest rates—they influence so much more than we realize. Over time, I’ve come to see how they shape everything from the growth of companies we work for to everyday financial decisions like buying a home or taking out a loan. While my background isn’t in macroeconomics, I’ve gained enough insight to understand how these changes impact our lives. Based on research from various sources, including Compass’ Chief Economist, here are some key takeaways:

• Inflation is still running high, with January’s numbers reaching their highest level since June. This supports Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s stance that with inflation still elevated and the job market strong, there’s no rush to cut interest rates.
• The Fed primarily looks at two factors when making rate decisions: inflation and unemployment. As long as both remain steady, rates are likely to stay where they are.
• Some experts worry that new tariff threats could push inflation even higher, though the administration argues otherwise and continues to call for rate cuts.
• Powell’s decisions will continue shaping the economy, as he remains in his role until May 2026.

On the jobs front:

• The U.S. added jobs in January, though the numbers came in slightly below expectations.
• Unemployment dipped to 4%, showing that the labor market remains strong.
• Economists are split on whether a strong job market is good or bad—while it signals economic health, it can also keep inflation higher for longer.
• Meanwhile, the government’s push to cut federal jobs and funding could impact employment and consumer confidence, adding short-term uncertainty to the market.

For now, we’re in a wait-and-see mode. I see rates holding steady until there’s a major shift in inflation or employment trends. Let me know if you’d like to chat more about how this affects real estate or your own family plans!

Market Perspectives with William Tang: Nin Tang Homes’ (Unofficial) Chief Investment Advisor*